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March 11, 2021
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David W. Johnson
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Consumerism COVID-19
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The Fluidity of Anti-Vaxxer Statistics

On last Friday’s Roundup, Julie Murchinson, Dave Burda and I discussed the widely circulated Urban Institute (UI) report on Covid-19 vaccine hesitancy. You can listen to our podcast here. You should. It’s healthcare’s best 20 minutes each week. 

UI’s findings are alarming. 35% of non-elderly American adults are anti-vaccine. Since kids under 16 cannot receive vaccines, we need to persuade half of these adults to get shots in their arms to reach Tony Fauci’s 75% vaccination threshold for herd immunity. 

A whopping 49% of Blacks and 47% of Republicans are unlikely to get vaccinated.  These anti-vaxxers worry about side effects and vaccine effectiveness. 57% don’t think they need a vaccine. Only 51% trust their healthcare providers about vaccines.

America, we have a problem. Or do we?

My friend, regular listener and uber data scientist Jarrett Lewis from Public Opinion Strategies believes that UI’s anti-vaxxer percentages are too high. A February survey by the Pew Research Center supports that claim. 

Jarrett believes that UI’s survey timing skewed their anti-vaxxer percentages upward. UI began its nationwide survey on December 8th, six days before the first Covid vaccination. Pew data suggests anti-vaccine sentiment peaked in September and has declined since then as Americans have become more knowledgeable about and more comfortable with the Covid-19 vaccines. 

Between last May and February, Pew’s anti-vaxxer percentages have ranged between 27% and 49%, including 30% for February. That response fluidity suggests there are fewer hard-core anti-vaxxers than the UI data indicates. That’s great news.

Herd immunity, here we come.

Read all dispatches from Dave Johnson here

About the Authors

David W. Johnson

David Johnson is the CEO of 4sight Health, an advisory company working at the intersection of healthcare strategy, economics, innovation. Johnson is a healthcare thought leader, keynote speaker, and strategic advisor to organizations busting the status-quo to reform our healthcare system. He is the author of Market vs. Medicine: America’s Epic Fight for Better, Affordable Healthcare, and his second book, The Customer Revolution in Healthcare: Delivering Kinder, Smarter, Affordable Care for All (McGraw-Hill 2019). Johnson applies his 25+ years of investment banking in healthcare to identify ways the healthcare industry must change to deliver better care. He received a Masters in Public Policy from Harvard Kennedy School, an English degree from Colgate University, and served in the African Peace Corp service. Join over 10k+ healthcare executives who read our weekly insights and commentary on www.4sighthealth.com.

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